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Abstract
John A. Kilpatrick
Currently, the USDA and the EPA estimate that livestock in the United States
produces 130 times the amount of manure produced by the entire human population of
this country. Spills from CAFOs have killed fish in several states; phosphorus in land
and water has been correlated with livestock density; and manure has caused
eutrophication and degradation of U.S. waterways.
The trend toward CAFOs has been rapid and pronounced in the U.S., but federal and
state laws generally are considered to have some gaps. In addition to water quality
issues resulting from manure and waste run-off, these facilities attract flies and other
insects and pests that parasitize the insects.
Professor John Ikert, an agricultural economist with the University of Missouri at
Columbia, sums up the problems quite succinctly in a recent working paper when he
says, "Piling up too much 'stuff' in one place causes problems." Writing specifically
about swine CAFOs, he goes on to comment, "if you spread out the hogs and let hog
manure lay where it falls in a pasture, it doesn't bother anyone very much. But if you
start collecting it, flushing it, spreading and spraying it around--all normal practices in
confinement hog operations--it becomes air pollution."
Because of the noxious and obvious problems associated with CAFOs, many states
have enacted severe restrictions on permits. For example, in 1997 the legislature of
typically livestock-friendly Oklahoma mandated setbacks and other pollution controls,
and in 1998 that legislature enacted a moratorium on new livestock permits.' Kansas is
another typically agriculture-friendly state that recently has enacted a moratorium on
CAFO, and it is considering legislation to end CAFOs. In 1998, the North Carolina
legislature, faced with unregulated establishment of CAFOs, enacted House Bill 1480,
which mandated the registration of growers for integrators, extended a moratorium,
and mandated substantial elimination of both atmospheric emission of ammonia and
odor beyond the boundary of existing CAFOs. Minnesota enacted similar odor
control legislation in 1997 and established both a complaint control protocol and an
enforcement response protocol specific to CAFOs.
CAFOs and the Value of Nearby Real Estate
Impairment and Value - An Overview
It is important to note that in the U.S. property itself is not "owned," but rather the
rights of the property are owned. The ability to delineate these rights, and the
ability of owners to transfer some or all of these rights voluntarily is a necessary
condition for property valuation.
Use and Enjoyment
An impairment often places a restriction on the right of use without some economic
compensation. This is illustrated in potential restrictions that may be placed on the use
of real estate due to a physical impairment and can thus limit the property to
something less than its highest and best use. For example, odor or flies from a nearby
CAFO will restrict the use and enjoyment of impaired property without compensation.
Right of Exclusion
Society places a high value on the right of exclusion, for justifiable reasons. Exclusion
provides that both the current benefits of ownership as well as future benefits accrue
only to the rightful owner, and his/her successors and assigns. In the absence of
exclusion, the right of use is under constant threat of nullification without just
compensation. In an economy without the right of exclusion, property owners would
adopt short-term strategies for use, rather than long-term strategies. In an economic
sense, this would lead to widespread inefficiency in the allocation of resources. Hence,
the right of exclusion carries with it a significant societal good, and thus a
significant, societally recognized Value.
Right of Transfer
Effects of Negative Externalities on Property Values
"Real estate economics and appraisal practice uniformly recognize that many
externalities such as contamination may have a negative impact on property
value"
Fitchen was one of the first to look at the value of the rights of a property owner in
the face of impairment-in that case, a toxic chemical pollution. As an anthropologist
and a professor of anthropology, she looks principally at residential values and
considers not only the real aspects of "violation of the home" by contamination (e.g.,
carcinogenic effects of polluting chemicals) but also the symbolic interference of what
she calls "...a threat to the assumptions people have about themselves and the way
life is supposed to be." She notes, "Toxic contamination also attacks the valued
institution of homeowner-ship, violating many of the rights that are assumed to flow
from the ownership of ones home, including the assumed right to control entry to it
....Chemical contamination may affect homeowners more seriously than renters, not
only in terms of potential financial loss, but also in terms of devaluation of the achieved
status of homeowners."
Edelstein also deals with this "home" theme, and calls impairment to or near a
residence an "...inversion of home..." when "...the previous locus of family security and
identity becomes instead a place of danger and defilement." He builds on previous
works, such as Perin and Altrnan and Chemers, that show the very special
place the home has in American society, culture, and economics. Perin states, "Not
being a nation of shopkeepers, America is one of homeowners, busily investing in plant
maintenance and expansion with both money and time, keeping the product attractive
for both use and sale."
Edelstein specifically stresses the investment diminution aspect of the inversion of
home principle. In citing case studies of experiences following neighborhood-wide
impairment in the Legler section of Jackson Township in southern New Jersey, he
shows that residents could not separate the psychological pride in home ownership
from the question of economic value. Surveys of the population found uniformity of
opinion that property values had diminished as a result of the problem. While previous
studies had focused on the diminution of value from existing homes, Edelstein was one
of the first to focus on the opportunity costs stemming from the inability to move. In
short, homeowners were stuck holding unsellable homes with stagnant prices, while
homes in other neighborhoods were soaring in value. Thus, the owners were harmed
not only by the diminution of value in the existing residences, but by the opportunity
costs inherent in lost gains from alternative home investments.
Value Loss: Stigma Issues
The earliest references to stigma as a quantitative concept in real estate economics
appear to be in the writings of Patchin and Mundy. The latter study
differentiated between the cost to cure and the cost of stigma. The former is an
out-of-pocket expense born either by the property owner or some other responsible
party, while the latter manifests in property value diminution even in the absence of a
cost to cure. For example, a property that is completely cured may continue to suffer
a diminution in value, and hence damages, because of stigma.
Kilpatrick outlines the quantitative model by which the value of income producing
property is reduced by the effects of stigma manifested via increases in market driven
capitalization rates. He outlines four components of income producing property
value impacts: net operating income, actual cost-to-cure, ongoing increases in
maintenance, and stigma. In his model, the stigma losses actually overwhelm the other
three factors as a component of value diminution. He concludes that under many
circumstances the stigma impacts are actually the greater portion of value losses to
property owners.
Other Proximate Contamination Issues
In a similar vein, Colwell analyzes the property value diminution associated with
proximity to power lines, and Kirshner and Moore show that. water quality can
impact nearby residential property values. Simons's study of pipeline ruptures
shows that diminution in value occurs on properties up to two miles from the site of a
petroleum spill.
Case Studies
Minnesota Case Study
North Carolina Study
University of Minnesota Study
University of Missouri Study
Pasco, Washington Case Study
Michigan Horse Farm Case Study
Michigan Residence Case Study
Summary and Conclusions
When appraising a property located proximate to a CAFO, the appraiser needs to
consider seven specific issues, each of which will have an impact on the value
conclusions:
While there is little disagreement that a CAFO has an impact on surrounding property
values, the degree of impact is clearly a function of the inter-play of these factors.
John A. Kilpatrick is a partner and senior analyst with Mundy Associates, LLC, an
economic, market, and valuation firm specializing in complex real estate matters
headquartered in Seattle, Washington. Kilpatrick is the author of four books and
numerous articles on real estate matters, and is a frequent speaker on real estate
economics and valuation. He did his graduate work in Real Estate Finance at the
University of South Carolina. Contact: Suite 200 Watermark Tower, 1109 First
Avenue, Seattle, Washington 98101. (206) 623-2935; fax: (206) 623-2985; email:
john@mundyassoc.com.
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